Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.039885 0.043518 0.047200 0.051205 0.055431 0.059752 0.064496
2025-07-27 0.034253 0.039579 0.045177 0.051472 0.058330 0.065549 0.073699
2025-08-03 0.030407 0.036984 0.044120 0.052378 0.061612 0.071564 0.083043
2025-08-10 0.025551 0.032748 0.040811 0.050405 0.061404 0.073519 0.087770
2025-08-17 0.022398 0.030119 0.039021 0.049875 0.062586 0.076844 0.093890
2025-08-24 0.019759 0.027834 0.037402 0.049335 0.063582 0.079826 0.099525
2025-08-31 0.018512 0.027108 0.037527 0.050761 0.066805 0.085332 0.108044
2025-09-07 0.017239 0.026225 0.037359 0.051748 0.069444 0.090120 0.115722
2025-09-14 0.015960 0.025221 0.036945 0.052354 0.071566 0.094260 0.122623
2025-09-21 0.014649 0.024065 0.036248 0.052529 0.073101 0.097661 0.128628
2025-09-28 0.013985 0.023730 0.036569 0.053957 0.076162 0.102897 0.136841
2025-10-05 0.012588 0.022269 0.035317 0.053289 0.076544 0.104830 0.141049
2025-10-12 0.011534 0.021249 0.034633 0.053362 0.077895 0.108018 0.146884
2025-10-19 0.010840 0.020705 0.034562 0.054222 0.080242 0.112449 0.154273
2025-10-26 0.010322 0.020388 0.034779 0.055452 0.083068 0.117492 0.162447
2025-11-02 0.008889 0.018543 0.032743 0.053543 0.081735 0.117261 0.164058
2025-11-09 0.008006 0.017494 0.031787 0.053060 0.082231 0.119311 0.168491
2025-11-16 0.007192 0.016488 0.030834 0.052531 0.082626 0.121206 0.172714
2025-11-23 0.006962 0.016453 0.031323 0.054035 0.085760 0.126636 0.181428
2025-11-30 0.006634 0.016221 0.031493 0.055072 0.088260 0.131257 0.189137
2025-12-07 0.006236 0.015830 0.031397 0.055708 0.090205 0.135160 0.195948
2025-12-14 0.005767 0.015272 0.031007 0.055893 0.091517 0.138230 0.201700
2025-12-21 0.005607 0.015277 0.031503 0.057382 0.094638 0.143693 0.210550